Christoph Beaufils
Author:
Christoph Beaufils

Blockbusters of Social Change from Health to Mobility

6 Megatrends That Will Shape Our Future

Megatrends are deep currents of change that bring about long-term and global changes in people's values and habits. Christoph Beaufils, Brand Strategist of the sports network ISPO, presents which ones will change the world.

Person vor Wolkenmeer stehend

Megatrends as a Sign of Social Change

Megatrends are the "blockbusters" of change - long-term streams of societal change in habits, behaviors, and morals. The global sports network, the ISPO Group, even pursues its own megatrend-oriented strategy with its diverse platforms. Megatrends are the key and navigation aid for us to understand the many forms of change and to act accordingly. And so they are not only regularly the focus of attention at the world's largest sports trade fair, ISPO Munich. The sports community discusses them heatedly at keynotes, workshops and parties.

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Importance of Sports Greater than Assumed

In this exchange, sport defines itself far more broadly than one might first assume: via the individual (Me) to society (We) to our planet (Us). Based on this philosophy, ISPO Group's vision is to promote access to sports and the outdoors and unleash their world-changing power. Sport reaches people and can bring about a lot of positive change, for the individual, for society and for the environment. To start with, this kind of thinking is particularly exciting for those companies that would not classify themselves as sports: There is no longer an industry!

Megatrends: Not Just a Fashion

There are many social trends, but the most important are the megatrends: According to the definition by futurologist Matthias Horx, these are trends that exist for more than 25 years, occur worldwide or at least internationally, and have an impact on many areas of life. They develop independently out of society and, unlike fashions, cannot be created in a planned way. The Future Institute, founded by Horx, currently sees 12 megatrends: Individualization, Gender Shift, Silver Society, Knowledge Culture, New Work, Health, Neo-Ecology, Connectivity, Globalization, Urbanization, Mobility, and Security.

ISPO has selected six crucial megatrends for its own strategy here and interpreted them individually:

Fitness-Übung auf dem Rücken

1. Megatrend Individualization: The Freedom of Self-Determination

Which way of life is the right one and which life decisions one can make for oneself is becoming more and more casual, and social expectations are being breached more and more often in the process. Career, sexuality, family, consumption - everything is affected. This also leads to a "casualization of society. People live casually: sneakers have long been socially acceptable, clothing follows the mood rather than the occasion, and the same applies to leisure activities. And if you're allowed to be everything, then you need less of the individual. Minimalism and on-demand are setting in. Less is more, but of higher quality and on demand. The furnishing style is "Japandi", which looks good and is universal. The choice of transportation is determined by the car sharing app and the tattered jeans now go well with the designer jacket. Thanks to "Vanlife", you can even be at home anywhere on vacation. But it's not just casual or sportswear that benefits; sharing models, subscription platforms, and mass-customization offerings (from furniture customization to one-of-a-kind sneakers) have a tailwind.

Frau auf Bergspitze

2. Megatrend Connectivity: Constantly Networked

Whether through WhatsApp, TikTok or Zoom calls in the home office, we are constantly connected to other people via the Internet. This megatrend was reinforced by the Corona pandemic, when face-to-face meetings had to be replaced by chats, online computer games (eSports) and video calls. This also has implications for people's health. On the one hand, digitization causes them to move less as they spend more time in front of screens or with their smartphones. But it can also become an opportunity for sport and health by creating new possibilities - through wearables, smart devices and digital training communities. In addition, more marketable augmented reality and virtual reality offerings are emerging that reduce barriers to entry - and not just to sports.

Smart Watch beim Training
Smartwatch during training

3. Megatrend Health: Much More than Just Not Being Sick

We have never been healthier: we are living longer and longer, in better and better health. Yet people are more concerned with their bodies than ever before. That's because their understanding of what health means is about to change. It has long since ceased to stand for the absence of disease. Rather, health is understood as a synonym for a good, satisfied life. An important part of this is mindfulness, the conscious awareness and experience of the present moment. The goal is an overall health of body and soul that gives strength and vital energy. "Healthstyle" is what ISPO calls the desire for balanced physical and mental fitness, which is increasingly becoming a lifestyle in its own right. The focus here is on self-optimization: a healthy mind in an athletic body has become a status symbol that cannot be bought or inherited, but only earned. In the midst of this are also the changes in eating habits and food.

Yogi im Gegenlicht
Healthy mind needs a healthy body

4. Megatrend Neo-Ecology: Sustainability Becomes an Economic Factor

Jute bags instead of plastic bags, bicycles instead of cars, and farmers' markets instead of supermarkets: neo-ecology is considered the most important megatrend of the 2020s. Environmental awareness has long since become mainstream, and it is also shaking up the definition of luxury. It is not only changing social values, our everyday lives and politics, but is also challenging classic entrepreneurial thinking. Environmental awareness and sustainability are becoming key business drivers. Instead of focusing solely on maximizing their profits, companies are increasingly required to include sustainability, post-growth and the common good in their planning. The sports and outdoor industry in particular must resolve the conflict of goals between experiencing nature and preserving nature. The increasing expectation for better working conditions, materials that conserve raw materials, and low Co2 infrastructure and logistics affects all industries. Policymakers are fueling this trend. For example, the European Commission adopted the new Circular Economy Action Plan (CEAP) in March 2020. It aims to initiate the transition to a circular economy in Europe. This megatrend is imperative, because it is vital for all of us that qualitative growth does not replace quantitative growth too late.

Markt mit regionalen Produkten

5. Megatrend Urbanization & Mobility: Urban Planning Meets Transport Transformation

Los Angeles, New York, Paris, Shanghai, Tokyo, Mexico City and Berlin are some of the key cities defined by adidas, which have a significant impact on human lifestyles. The Key City strategy makes sense because more and more people are living in cities and urbanization is also affecting the countryside. The consumption of living space per capita is increasing worldwide. Contrasts between urban and rural areas will increasingly dissolve. Life models that were once typical of the city, such as individuality and pluralization, are reaching the countryside. Conversely, village structures are also forming in the city, and the neighborhood is becoming the center of life. A livable city is now defined by its access to nature and sports: Green spaces and water areas, sports facilities such as basketball courts, running tracks, half-pipes or boulder halls become meeting places. The city becomes a sporting and cultural playground, and a direct consequence is the "urban outdoor" trend. Smart cities are emerging and include technology-driven infrastructural solutions: Smart water treatment or cooling green skyscrapers for the heated cities, are still the small-minded concepts.

In the midst of the change is the concept of mobility: "Sheer Driving Pleasure" must be reinvented when autonomous driving becomes a reality and the car is only one component among many in the mobility concept of the individual. The "third space" is the term used to describe the moment gained in autonomous driving between home and work. Above all, to promote mental and physical health, the automotive industry would like to use this driving time. This third space will eventually join "Seamless Mobility." The seamless transition of different mobility solutions: public transport meets car sharing meets bike and more. That's because the mobility revolution is being led by the bicycle, primarily through its electrification. The bike boom will continue: Wide bike lanes with e-bikes, bike sharing stations and cargo bikes increasingly characterize the cityscape.

urbaner Skatepark
Urban lifestyle in skate parks

6. New Live & Excitement: The Thrill of the Unrepeatable

"Collect memories, not money" is a telling saying that younger generations in particular like to quote on Instagram & Co. However, it is not just Generation Y and its questioning character that is behind this, but rather the increasing value of unique moments in a networked world. More and more on-demand entertainment offerings and constantly available access to information, faster Internet and cheaper cloud storage are increasing the value of unique moments and turning them into very special experiences.

The growing number of film, food and music festivals before the Corona pandemic was already a clear phenomenon of this. At the forefront, however, is the moment of live sports. One can follow the athletes' journey of suffering or success mostly over the game season, but above all, the respective final result is uncertain until the very end. The tension of uncertainty tops everything. No sooner is the result known than it is already available in all the media - so the unique live experience cannot be recreated by "replaying" it. Missed is missed and the significance has disappeared.

But it's not just the sport, its sponsors, betting providers and event organizers with their periphery of gastronomy and hotels, etc. that benefit from this, but above all media platforms that transport the live moment outside free TV. Thus, the offer of sports competitions is increasing and it is becoming more diverse. The growth of E-Sports and the platform Twitch is one exemplary example among many. And it's true that the more meaningful a moment, the more likely it is to want to be captured - again, this is where a whole other industry ties in. What is clear is that the importance of the live moment and thus of the event is increasing, and not just because of the pandemic.

Live-Publikum die Herzen mit Händen formen
Experiencing something live is unique and remains in memory - whether sports event or festival

This article first appeared as a guest article by ISPO.com in the magazine "Niederbayerische Wirtschaft" of the Chamber of Industry and Commerce of Lower Bavaria.

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Christoph Beaufils
Author:
Christoph Beaufils

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